William
Kovarik |
Fuels and Society: Case Study |
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| Back to: 10. Knocking Back to: 11. Alcohol Fuel as a Replacement Ahead to 17. TEL Toxicity Ahead to 13. Kettering and Midgley Back to Concept Map
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Case Study: It is early in the 20th century and the nation has a system problem. People want automobiles and want fuels to drive them. But supply and quality of the fuels limits the automakers abilities to make large numbers of automobiles with powerful, efficient engines The Questions: How did research along three parallel pathways lead to a number of solutions to the problem of poor quality and insufficient quantity of gasoline. Students will go through a series of units outlined in the concept map and end with a case discussion on how they would have dealt with the issues of gasoline quality and supply automakers, oil companies and the government faced in the early 20th century. Lets set the historical stage before the discovery of leaded gasoline. The year is 1920 and there are two great uncertainties involving
1)Oil Supply Situation: We are running out of oil. There are over 10 million cars on the roads using over 3 billion gallons of fuel per year. These numbers are rising by more than ten percent every year. While there are still about 20 million horses, cars have proven indispensable because they are cleaner, safer and more dependable than horses. At current rates of consumption, apparent US oil reserves will be depleted around 1940, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. Foreign oil sources would be desirable, but they are potentially unstable. For example, in 1916, a revolution forced Standard Oil Co. out of Mexico. If we couldnt control events so close to our own borders, how could we control events in distant lands, such as the oil rich Arab regions where the British have colonies? 2) Fuel quality situation: Engine knock is a serious problem. We are running out of good oil that contains anti-knock ingredients (which we later learned are branched-chain hydrocarbons). (See 7. Poor Quality Gasoline). Automakers have started reducing engine compression in order to avoid knocking, but that means the engines use more fuel to do less work. As GM's Charles Kettering noted (in 10. Knocking) we can improve fuel in several ways: more gasoline refining, high percentage blending additives like alcohol and benzene, and low percentage additives like iodine and some metals (lead may be promising, as it would seem in 1920). High percentage additives are available now. (See 11. Alcohol fuel as a replacement). The distilleries and feed stocks for ethanol as a high percentage additive are available now. With Prohibition, distilleries need new markets.And American farmers need new outlets for crops now that the Great War has ended and food demand from Europe has dropped. In the long run, however, the use of food for fuel may have serious consequences. We cannot commit to this course without thinking it through. European countries, notably France and Germany, are supporting farm ethanol containing fuel blends with compulsory blending laws and tax incentives. (For more information see http://www.radford.edu/~wkovarik/papers/fuel.html) Some scientists, such as Yales Harrold Hibbert, say we can make ethanol from waste wood and other cellulose materials. T There are at least four interests in the early supply and fuel quality picture:
Each has a set of options that affect all the interested parties which could lead to solutions to the two problems. You may think of additional options not shown here. You will also think of problems with each option. Some Options: Oil: Supply: / ask for tax incentives for more exploration / ask government to expand foreign oil through military action / use farm ethanol to increase supply Quality: / spend more on research to refine higher quality fuels / blend farm ethanol to increase fuel quality / support or oppose ethanol tax and mandatory blending ideas Auto: Supply: / support oil industry in expanding foreign oil sources / support farmers and prepare for end of oil supply / support long term cellulose to ethanol research Quality: / make less efficient engines geared to poorer quality fuels / make more efficient engines for high quality fuels Government: Supply: / use tax incentives to expand US oil exploration / expand foreign oil imports thru foreign military action Quality: / use tax incentives to encourage ethanol blending / use laws to force oil industry to blend ethanol Farmers: Supply and Quality / ask government to encourage ethanol thru tax policy / ask government to force oil industry to use ethanol / support cellulose to ethanol research
Procedure: Form into four groups: Oil, auto, government and farm interests. Make a list of the advantages and disadvantages to the group you represent of routes to dealing with oil supply and fuel quality problems in 1920. For example, the government may find that foreign military action for oil could undermine other initiatives underway in 1919 and 1920. But encouraging ethanol could both help and conflict with Prohibition laws. (It could help the transition for the distillery business but it would make law enforcement harder). Farm interests may need to ask whether their food supplies will not soon be turned into fuel and what that might mean for their ability to feed the nation. They might also ask whether agricultural industry could help create new jobs in hard pressed rural areas. The oil industry might ask whether oil is really running out or if that is just public relations cover for increasing prices. If oil is running out, would ethanol blending cut so deeply into profits? If its not, what is the best way to oppose ethanol? Answer these questions: 1. How do we assess the benefits of expanded supply against various potential risks? Do we have enough resources? If so, can these participants alone solve the problem of supply and fuel quality?
2. If not what other resources are necessary to come to an acceptable solution?
3. What solution do you suggest?
Prohibition: In 1919, the United States amended its Constitution to prohibit the sale of alcoholic beverages. "Prohibition" was far easier to proclaim than enforce and the period of Prohibition ended in 1933 with the constitutional repeal of the XVIIIth amendment. Great War: World War I, the European war of 1914-18, was so devastating to the populations and nations of Europe that the people of the time believed there could never be another conflict on this great scale. US participation in the Great War came late - from mid 1917 until the armistice of Nov. 11, 1918. Although the military and industrial impact on the US was a significant since the US supplied much of the arms and ammunition for the Allied Forces opposing Germany, US casualties paled in comparison to the millions lost in long campaigns of daily combat called Trench Warfare. |
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